Market timing ranks above sports knowledge in betting because defeating the odds is not an issue concerning whether or not you know the game, but rather when you play that knowledge. You can be an encyclopedia of data and matches, but the price has already been wasted because you would often be late to the party. The odds never stand still for you to evaluate them because they often change every few minutes after a piece of news or a trend is established. Time will give you an advantage that can never be given by just knowledge. Being right with your bet is not sufficient, but you also have to be the first one to do it.
Odds Move Fast, And So Should You
The odds move fast, and unless you are fast, you are bound to be left trying to get the crumbs. You might be well-versed about the team’s strategies, injuries, and even emotions, but the market does not consider somebody betting before you do. The odds will start shifting as soon as very important information is made available. They are able to move within seconds, particularly in popular leagues that attract big money early in the game. The attack opportunity is really small. Blink and your great decision becomes an unworthy one with less value.
The Market Is Ruthless With Value
The market is not concerned about how complex you analyze things because it only runs on the principle of rewarding speed, and not just your intelligence. You may start betting on a low-ranked team that is not getting attention, and you are most likely right. However, when you put it aside, it is likely that the sharp bettors have already taken this opportunity and wagered on those sweet odds. Your best pick becomes mediocre all of a sudden. Value does not sit back and wait for you. It is a competition, and whoever does it first will reap the most reward, while the rest are left betting on efficiency.
Books React, But Not Instantly
Betting books respond, though with a delay that clever bettors make use of. If breaking news happens, for example, when a great striker pulls out just before the game or when bad weather causes scheduling delays, your chances are not instantly altered. It is common to have that very small window before the sportsbook is able to catch up, and this is the moment when you should strike. You can take advantage of the odds that have not yet caught up with reality if you are fast and decisive. However, if you are going through Twitter and drinking coffee, that time might have just run away. Being early could be everything in this game.
Betting Late Is Just Giving Value Away
In a nutshell, familiarity with the game might make you look intelligent at your local bar, but the knowledge of betting at the perfect time on Betway can help you make calculated bets. You can count the strategies, lineups, and data all day, but if you wait too long to bet, you might end up wagering on a sharper and colder market. That edge can really go away very quickly. The principal difference between being wise and making money is the timing. Learn the game, but don’t procrastinate when it really matters the most.
Bob Duncan is the lead writer and partner on ConversationsWithBianca.com. A passionate parent, he’s always excited to dive into the conversation about anything from parenting, food & drink, travel, to gifts & more!